Peer-reviewed journal articles – available links provided (please email us for copies)


Shao, W., S. Xian, N. Lin, and M. Small (2017). A sequential model to link contextual risk, perception and public support for flood adaptation policy. Water Research, doi: 1016/j.watres.2017.05.072

Lin, N., R. Jing, Y. Wang, E. Yonekura, J. Fan, and L. Xue (2017). A statistical investigation of the dependence of tropical cyclone intensity change on the surrounding environmentMonthly Weather Review, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-16-0368.1

Xian, S., N. Lin, and H. Kunreuther (2017). Optimal house elevation for reducing flood-related losses. Journal of Hydrology, doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.02.057

Lin, N. and E. Shullman (2017). Dealing with hurricane surge flooding in a changing environment: part I. Risk assessment considering storm climatology change, sea level rise, and coastal development. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, doi: 10.1007/s00477-016-1377-5

Lu, P., J.A. Smith, and N. Lin (2017). Spatial Characterization of Flood Magnitudes over the Drainage Network of the Delaware River Basin. Journal of Hydrometeorology, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-16-0071.1


Yin, J., N. Lin, and D. Yu (2016). Coupled modeling of storm surge and coastal inundation: A case study in New York City during Hurricane Sandy. Water Resources Research, doi: 10.1002/2016WR019102.

Shao, W., S. Xian, N. Lin, H. Kunreuther, N. Jackson, K. Goidel (2016), Understanding the effects of past flood events and perceived and estimated flood risks on individuals’ voluntary flood insurance purchase behavior. Water Research, doi: 10.1016/j.watres.2016.11.021.

Hatzikyriakou, A. and N. Lin (2016), Impact of performance interdependencies on structural vulnerability: a systems perspective of storm surge risk to coastal residential communitiesReliability Engineering & System Safety, doi: 10.1016/j.ress.2016.10.011.

Lin, N., R.E. Kopp, B.P. Horton, and J.P. Donnelly (2016), Hurricane Sandy’s flood frequency increasing from year 1800 to 2100Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciencesdoi: 10.1073/pnas.1604386113.

Shao, W., S. Xian, B.D. Keim, K. Goidel, and N. Lin (2016), Understanding perceptions of changing hurricane strength along the US Gulf coast. Int. J. Climatol., doi:10.1002/joc.4805.

Chavas, D. and N. Lin (2016). A model for the complete radial structure of the tropical cyclone wind field. Part II: wind field variabilityJ. Atmos. Sci., doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-15-0185.1.

Chavas, D., N. Lin, W. Dong, and Y. Lin (2016). Observed tropical cyclone size revisitedJ. Climate, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0731.1.

Lin, N. and K.A. Emanuel (2016). Grey swan tropical cyclonesNat. Clim. Change. doi:10.1038/nclimate2777.


Lin, N. (2015). An integrated approach to assess and manage hurricane risk in a changing climate(NAE) The Bridge 45(4): 45–51.

Hatzikyriakou, A., N. Lin, J. Gong, S. Xian, X. Hu, and A. Kennedy (2015). Component-based vulnerability analysis for residential structures subjected to storm surge impact from Hurricane SandyNat. Hazards Rev., 10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000205, 05015005.

Reed, A.J., M.E. Mann, K. A. Emanuel, N. Lin, B.P. Horton, A.C. Kemp, and J.P. Donnelly (2015). Increased threat of tropical cyclones and coastal flooding to New York City during the anthropogenic eraProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1513127112.

Xian, S., N. Lin, and A. Hatzikyriakou (2015). Storm surge damage to residential areas: a quantitative analysis for Hurricane Sandy in comparison with FEMA flood mapNat. Hazards, 79(3): 1867-1888. doi:10.1007/s11069-015-1937-x.

Chavas, D., N. Lin, and K. Emanuel (2015). A model for the complete radial structure of the tropical cyclone wind field. Part I: Comparison with observed structure. J. Atmos. Sci. doi:10.1175/JAS-D-15-0014.1

Orton, P., Vinogradov, S., Georgas, N., Blumberg, A., Lin, N., Gornitz, V., Little, C., Jacob, K. and Horton, R. (2015), New York City Panel on Climate Change 2015 Report Chapter 4: Dynamic Coastal Flood Modeling. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1336: 56–66. doi: 10.1111/nyas.12589


Lickley, M.J., N. Lin, and H.D. Jacoby (2014). Analysis of coastal protection under rising flood riskClimate Risk Management. doi: 10.1016/j.crm.2015.01.001

Lin, N., P. Lane, K.A. Emanuel, R.M. Sullivan, and J.P. Donnelly (2014). Heightened hurricane surge risk in northwest Florida revealed from climatological-hydrodynamic modeling and paleorecord reconstruction. J. Geophys. Res-Atmos. 119(14): 8606-8623. doi:10.1002/2014JD021584 (Highlighted in Research Spotlight of EOS).

Aerts, J.C.J.H., W.J. Wouter Botzen, K. Emanuel, N. Lin, H. de Moel, and E.O. Michel-Kerjan (2014). Evaluating flood resilience strategies for coastal megacities. Science 344(6183): 473-475. doi:10.1126/science.1248222 (Lloyd’s Science of Risk Prize).

Lin, N., K. Emanuel, and E. Vanmarcke (2014). Physically-based hurricane risk analysis. In Extreme Natural Hazards, Disaster Risks and Societal Implications. Ismail-Zadeh, A., Fucugaughi, J., Kijko, A., Takeuchi, K. and Zaliapin, I. (eds.), Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 9781107033863.

Yeo, D., N. Lin, and E. Simiu (2014). Estimation of hurricane wind speed probabilities: Application to New York City and other coastal locations. J. Struct. Eng. 140(6). doi:10.1061/(Asce)St.1943-541x.0000892.


Aerts, J.C.J.H., N. Lin, W.J.W. Botzen, K. Emanuel, and H. de Moel (2013). Low-probability flood risk modeling for New York City. Risk Anal. 33(5): 772-788. doi:10.1111/Risa.12008 (Best Paper Award for 2013 in Risk Analysis).

Vanmarcke, E., N. Lin, and S.-C. Yau (2013). Quantitative risk analysis of damage to structures during windstorms: some multi-scale and system-reliability effects. Struct. Infrastruct. Eng. 10(10): 1311-1319. doi:10.1080/15732479.2013.791325.

Letchford, C., N. Lin, and J. Holmes (2013). Windborne debris in horizontal winds and applications to impact testing. In Advanced Structural Wind Engineering. Tamura, Y. and Kareem, A. (eds.), Springer. ISBN: 9784431543374.

Huang, M.F., W.J. Lou, C.M. Chan, N. Lin, and X.T. Pan (2013). Peak distributions and peak factors of wind-induced pressure processes on tall buildings. J. Eng. Mech. 139(12): 1744-1756. doi:10.1061/(Asce)Em.1943-7889.0000616.


Lin, N., K. Emanuel, M. Oppenheimer, and E. Vanmarcke (2012). Physically based assessment of hurricane surge threat under climate change. Nat. Clim. Change 2(6): 462-467. doi: 10.1038/Nclimate1389. (Online attention ranked 1st of the 113 tracked articles of a similar age in Nature Climate Change)

Lin, N. and D. Chavas (2012). On hurricane parametric wind and applications in storm surge modeling. J. Geophys. Res-Atmos. 117. doi:10.1029/2011jd017126.

Lou, W., M. Huang, M. Zhang, and N. Lin (2012). Experimental and zonal modeling for wind pressures on double-skin facades of a tall building. Energ. Buildings 54(0): 179-191. doi:10.1016/j.enbuild.2012.06.025.

Klima, K., N. Lin, K. Emanuel, M.G. Morgan, and I. Grossmann (2012). Hurricane modification and adaptation in Miami-Dade County, Florida. Environ. Sci. Technol. 46(2): 636-642. doi:10.1021/Es202640p.


Yau, S.C., N. Lin, and E. Vanmarcke (2011). Hurricane damage and loss estimation using an integrated vulnerability model. Nat. Hazards Rev. 12(4): 184-189. doi:10.1061/(Asce)Nh.1527-6996.0000035.


Lin, N., K.A. Emanuel, J.A. Smith, and E. Vanmarcke (2010). Risk assessment of hurricane storm surge for New York City. J. Geophys. Res-Atmos. 115. doi:10.1029/2009jd013630.

Lin, N., J.A. Smith, G. Villarini, T.P. Marchok, and M.L. Baeck (2010). Modeling extreme rainfall, winds, and surge from Hurricane Isabel (2003). Weather Forecast 25(5): 1342-1361. doi:10.1175/2010waf2222349.1.

Lin, N. and E. Vanmarcke (2010). Windborne debris risk analysis – Part I. Introduction and methodology. Wind. Struct. 13(2): 191-206.

Lin, N., E. Vanmarcke, and S.C. Yau (2010). Windborne debris risk analysis – Part II. Application to structural vulnerability modeling. Wind. Struct. 13(2): 207-220.


Lin, N. and E. Vanmarcke (2008). Windborne debris risk assessment. Probabilist Eng Mech 23(4): 523-530. doi:10.1016/j.probengmech.2008.01.010.


Lin, N., J. Holmes, and C. Letchford (2007). Trajectories of wind-borne debris in horizontal winds and applications to impact testing. J. Struct. Eng. 133(2): 274-282. doi:10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9445(2007)133:2(274).


Lin, N., C. Letchford, and J. Holmes (2006). Investigation of plate-type windborne debris. Part I. Experiments in wind tunnel and full scale. J. Wind. Eng. Ind. Aerod. 94(2): 51-76. doi:10.1016/j.jweia.2005.12.005.

Holmes, J.D., C.W. Letchford, and N. Lin (2006). Investigations of plate-type windborne debris. Part II: Computed trajectories. J. Wind. Eng. Ind. Aerod. 94(1): 21-39. doi:10.1016/j.jweia.2005.10.002.


Lin, N., C. Letchford, Y. Tamura, B. Liang, and O. Nakamura (2005). Characteristics of wind forces acting on tall buildings. J. Wind. Eng. Ind. Aerod. 93(3): 217-242. doi:10.1016/j.jweia.2004.12.001.


Lin N., B. Liang, and Y. Tamura (2003). Experimental investigation on local wind force coefficients and power spectra of high-rise buildings (in Chinese). J. Vibrat. Eng. 16(4): 409-414.